Class Schedule
This page contains a schedule of the topics, content, and assignments for the semester. Note that this schedule will be updated as necessary the semester progresses, with all changes documented here.
Instructions to save the slides as PDFs can be found here. The key is to hit E when the slides are open in your browser (ideally Chrome, but it may work in others) to toggle into PDF print mode.
Readings can be accessed using the link (when needed, through the Cornell library with a Cornell login) or on Canvas.
| Week | Date | Topic | Slides | Reading | Exercises | Homework |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hypothesis Testing and Modeling | ||||||
| 1 | Mon, Jan 22 | Overview, GitHub Intro | Rockmore (2024) | |||
| Wed, Jan 24 | Uncertainty and Probability Review | |||||
| 2 | Mon, Jan 29 | Probability Models and Model Residuals | Stein (2020) | |||
| Wed, Jan 31 | Probability Models II | |||||
| 3 | Mon, Feb 5 | Exploratory Data Analysis | ||||
| Wed, Feb 7 | More on Discrepancy and Bayesian Statistics | |||||
| 4 | Mon, Feb 12 | More Bayes and Extreme Values | Doss-Gollin et al (2021) | |||
| Wed, Feb 14 | No Class: Project Work | |||||
| 5 | Mon, Feb 19 | Extreme Value Theory and Models | Arns et al (2013) | |||
| Wed, Feb 21 | Data Visualization | |||||
| 6 | Mon, Feb 26 | No Class: February Break | ||||
| Wed, Feb 28 | In-Class Figure Discussion | |||||
| Simulation Methods | ||||||
| 7 | Mon, Mar 4 | Monte Carlo Simulation | Kale (2021) | |||
| Wed, Mar 6 | Sampling Distributions and The Bootstrap | |||||
| 8 | Mon, Mar 11 | The Parametric Bootstrap | Rahmstorf & Coumou (2011) | |||
| Wed, Mar 13 | Bayesian Computation | |||||
| 9 | Mon, Mar 18 | Markov Chain Monte Carlo | Ruckert et al (2017) | |||
| Wed, Mar 20 | MCMC Convergence and Example | |||||
| 10 | Mon, Mar 25 | MCMC Lab | ||||
| Wed, Mar 27 | Literature Review Presentations | |||||
| Mon, Apr 1 | No Class: Spring Break | |||||
| Wed, Apr 3 | No Class: Spring Break | |||||
| Model Assessment and Selection | ||||||
| 11 | Mon, Apr 8 | No Class: Eclipse | ||||
| Wed, Apr 10 | Hypothesis Testing | |||||
| 12 | Mon, Apr 15 | Model Assessment | ||||
| Wed, Apr 17 | Cross-Validation and Predictive Assessment | |||||
| 13 | Mon, Apr 22 | Information Criteria | ||||
| Wed, Apr 24 | Other Information Criteria | |||||
| Emulation | ||||||
| 14 | Mon, Apr 29 | Model Complexity and Emulation | ||||
| Wed, May 1 | Emulation Wrap-Up and Class Review | |||||
| 15 | Mon, May 6 | Project Presentations |